Tahir Naqqash 🔺

Daily report, Friday, October 23, 2026 I see bitcoin finishing the week almost exactly where it began, even after a brutal Thursday for tech, oil at a five-month high and $635.6M pulled from spot funds. Leveraged accounts are adding long bets while fund holders sell, and price sits between a $79,800 floor and a $84,808 level where a daily close above would break the range. Bitcoin held near $81,700, nearly flat for the week, after a hard Thursday for tech. US spot bitcoin ETFs lost $635.6M on Thursday, the largest outflow since June. The Nasdaq fell 2.6% and the S&P 500 1.21% as chip stocks slid. Brent settled at $113.17, its highest since May, on Iran strike reports. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped about 17 basis points to 4.96%. Eurozone business activity slowed in October, with France in contraction. Market Blind Spot: OKX accounts lean long at 2.25 while ETF holders sell. Dates to mark: US PMIs today, FOMC on Oct 28, Strategy results Oct 29.

$BTC is stuck between $81.2K and $81.9K all afternoon. No big moves either way. The leverage got cleaned out this morning Resistance is $81.9K, then $82.6K. Support is $80.75K–81.2K. This is a pause, not a breakdown. An hourly close above $81.9K would be the first sign buyers are back.

DYOR Wednesday, October 21, 2026 I stay neutral on bitcoin, but the tape improved overnight: price reclaimed its short-term trend line as oil and Treasury yields cooled. The $84,000 ceiling still holds, so Open Long only once a session ends above it and Open Short on a settle under $79,800 Bitcoin rose 2.6% to $83,521, above its 20-day EMA and just under the $84,000 ceiling. US spot bitcoin ETFs added $23.2M on Tuesday, a sharp slowdown from Monday's $526.7M. Brent spiked to $111.99, then settled at $108.79; yields and the VIX eased with it. Netflix fell 5.8% after hours on its guide, while SpaceX rose about 8% on its first profit. On-chain deep-dive: hashrate keeps climbing, but next-block fees sit near the 1 sat/vB floor. Market Blind Spot: ether is outrunning bitcoin even as ether ETFs lose money for a fifth day. Dates to mark: Tesla and Meta today, jobless claims Thursday, FOMC on Oct 28.

$BTC slipped back under $82.6k. $82.6k has flipped four times today. That's chop, not a trend. $81.9k is the level that matters now. Lose that on the hourly and $81k is back in play.

Helllllllloooo

** 📊 MARKET BRIEF OCT 8** 🚨 **MARKET** 🔴 BTC **$82,769 (-1.33%)** 🔴 ETH **$2,554 (-2.02%)** 🔴 SOL **$114.64 (-2.94%)** 🔴 XRP **$1.408 (-3.49%)** 🟢 Brent **$103.3 (+2.44%)** ⚪ Gold **$4,124 (~flat)** ⚠️ **BIGGEST STORY — ETF OUTFLOWS** 🔴 BTC ETFs: **-$484.9M** — largest outflow since June 25 🔴 ETH ETFs: **-$160.9M** — **7th straight outflow** 📉 BTC October MTD now **-$163.3M** Yesterday's “steady BTC ETF demand” thesis has weakened significantly. Thursday's ETF flow will be important to see if this was a one-day reaction or a broader risk reduction. 🛢️ **MACRO PRESSURE** • Brent jumped above **$103** amid Iran escalation concerns • US 10Y yield touched **5.36%** • 30Y yield ~**5.71%** • Fed minutes were hawkish; markets price roughly **78–80% odds of a December hike** • 🔔 **$22B 30Y Treasury auction today** 🎯 **BTC LEVELS** 🟢 Support: **$82.15K → $82–83K → $81K → ~$78K** 🔴 Resistance: **$83.93K → $84.2K → $85.5K → $86.7–87K** 📉 **TOP MOVERS** 🔴 LINK **-4.48%** 🔴 LTC **-4.44%** 🔴 HYPE **-4.12%** 🔴 XRP **-3.49%** 🟢 TRX **+0.18%** — only gainer 🟡 BNB **-0.70%** — relative-strength leader 🧭 **SENTIMENT** CMC Fear & Greed: **59 — Neutral** Sentiment has fallen from Greed for a second consecutive day. TTC_October8_2026 📅 **WATCH** 💵 Oct 8 — 30Y Treasury auction 📊 Oct 9 — BTC/ETH weekly expiry ⚠️ Oct 10 — 10/10 crash anniversary 📈 Oct 14 — US CPI 🏦 Oct 27–28 — FOMC 🧠 **TTC TAKE:** **BTC is now facing a much tougher setup: ETF demand has flipped negative, oil is above $103, and long-term yields remain elevated. $82K–83K is the immediate battleground. A weak 30Y auction + rising oil could trigger another leg lower; stabilization in oil/yields and renewed ETF inflows would be the first signs of relief.**